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₹440.3
-2.35 (-0.53%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Varun Beverages (VBL) is exhibiting mild consolidation near ₹440.3 with low institutional volume (RVOL 0.08x) today. While short-term momentum shows slight cooling and range-bound movement near VWAP, medium and long-term indicators remain generally constructive, supported by positive Q1 earnings sentiment, analyst backing, and strategic expansion into the alcobev segment despite near-term volatility."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 09:30. The extremely low volume ratio (0.08x) and tight range near VWAP indicate a lack of strong intraday institutional participation or directional conviction, making it prudent to stay on the sidelines.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: The stock holds comfortably above key moving averages like the 20D and 50D EMAs. With positive earnings results and short-term expert backing, pullbacks toward support near the middle Bollinger Band offer favorable risk-reward entries for a swing bounce.
Entry: ₹430 - ₹440
SL: ₹418
Target: ₹470
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: VBL maintains a solid market position within its beverage segment and continues to diversify strategically (e.g., alcobev expansion). Strong fundamentals and consistent long-term demand make it a compelling structural accumulation candidate on dips.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹430
SL: ₹380
Target: ₹550+

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price is trading near the VWAP of ₹441.07 and just below the upper Bollinger Band of ₹447.89, holding well above the 20D SMA (₹433.14) and the Supertrend level of ₹414.41.
  • RSI at 56.44 indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum. MACD shows a positive histogram (1.2) with the MACD line above the signal line, though low ADX (15.28) suggests a lack of a strong directional trend currently.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates reflect strong Q1 CY2026 operational performance with solid revenue, PAT, and volume growth, driving brokerage interest. While the recent foray into the alcobev segment led to a temporary 3% dip with mixed reactions from JP Morgan and CLSA, the broader fundamental growth trajectory remains intact and attractive for medium-to-long-term investors.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
🟢 NO_BUY
Position Health
⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)
Session VWAP ₹441.07
Peak Drawdown from High -0.91%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹440.7 / ₹441.23
Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-0.9% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.440.70)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.51% (0.93x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹442.75
Day's High ₹444.35
Day's Low ₹439.4
VWAP ₹441.07
Distance from Day's High 0.91%
Distance from Day's Low 0.2%
52-Week High ₹555.8
52-Week Low ₹381.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 368348
20-Day Avg Volume 4823554.3
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.08x
Nifty 50 Change 0.0%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -0.53%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 56.44 Bullish (55–70)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹9.53 (2.16% of Price) Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 86.03 %D: 91.34 Overbought (≥80)
StochRSI (14) %K: 9.67 %D: 6.84 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 15.28 +DI: 18.67 -DI: 14.77 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 56.09 Bullish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: 2.4% Momentum (10D): ₹8.3 Bullish (+ROC)
Williams %R (14) -13.97 Overbought (≥-20)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: 4.12 Signal: 2.92 Histogram: 1.2 Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹414.41 (Bullish) Bullish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹447.89 Mid: ₹433.14 Lower: ₹418.39 Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹425.01 Bullish (Price > SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) 106.51 Strong Bullish / Breakout (≥100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹433.14 34D: ₹423.45 50D: ₹427.59 89D: ₹453.84 200D: ₹463.41 Bullish (Price > 20D > 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹437.98 20D: ₹433.47 34D: ₹432.58 50D: ₹435.8 89D: ₹445.31 200D: ₹455.61 Bullish Stack (Price > 9D > 20D)
TRIX (15) 0.1163% Bullish (>0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Varun Beverages (NSEI:VBL) Stock Price - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:09:01
Varun Beverages shares rise 2.11% to Rs 443.00 - TradingView
Publisher: TradingView | Published: Mon, 17 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).