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VBL NSE Segment

⏱️ Last Scan Run: 2026-10-14 06:50 AM IST

₹442.0

+8.7 (+2.01%)

⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-2.5-flash)

Market Analysis Summary:

"VBL has demonstrated strong intraday bullish momentum, maintaining prices above VWAP and showing positive relative strength against the Nifty. Recent Q1 results are positive, providing a fundamental tailwind. However, the stock is currently extended for intraday trading with low volume and overbought short-term indicators. For the medium term, VBL shows a bullish technical setup (above 50 EMA, bullish MACD) supported by good earnings, despite initial analyst concerns over its alcobev foray. Long-term prospects appear robust given its market leadership and strategic diversification, offering accumulation opportunities on dips."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade

Conviction: 5/10

Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints up to 15:00: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:00. The stock has exhibited strong positive momentum throughout the day, consistently staying above its VWAP and showing positive relative strength. However, the current price is very close to the day's high (₹443.7), and the Stochastic %K is in highly overbought territory (92.86), signaling potential exhaustion or a pending pullback. Furthermore, the volume ratio (RVOL 0.51x) is significantly lower than average, indicating reduced institutional participation and potentially weaker conviction behind the recent price surge. While the overall intraday trend is bullish, the risk-reward for a fresh entry at current extended levels is unfavorable. Waiting for a significant pullback towards VWAP or a clear breakout above the day high with robust volume confirmation would be a more prudent approach.

Entry: N/A

SL: N/A

Target: N/A

Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY

Conviction: 7/10

Rationale: The stock is trading above its 50-day EMA (₹435.33), which is a key support level, and the MACD shows a bullish crossover with a positive histogram, indicating strengthening momentum. RSI is healthy at 57.66, not yet overbought for the swing timeframe. Recent Q1 results were positive, and while the alcobev foray initially caused concern, the market appears to be shrugging off the negativity, viewing it as a potential long-term growth driver. Entry near the 50 EMA or the middle Bollinger Band (₹429.99) would offer a better risk-reward for a swing trade, targeting the upper Bollinger Band and beyond.

Entry: ₹435 - ₹440

SL: ₹425

Target: ₹465

Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY

Conviction: 8/10

Rationale: Despite being off its 52-week high (₹555.8) and trading below its longer-term EMAs (89D and 200D), Varun Beverages exhibits strong fundamental growth as evidenced by its positive Q1 results (revenue, PAT, volume). The strategic foray into the alcobev segment, while causing initial analyst caution, represents a significant long-term diversification and growth opportunity, positioning the company well for future expansion in a high-growth market. As a dominant player in the beverage industry, any dips offer attractive accumulation opportunities for investors focusing on multi-year growth and market leadership. The stock's current valuation, being off its highs, provides a more attractive entry point for long-term compounding, with strong catalysts for re-rating towards its 52-week high and beyond.

Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹430

SL: ₹380

Target: ₹550

Technical Analysis & Overview:

Price Action: The LTP of ₹442.0 is comfortably above the VWAP of ₹441.13 and all short-term EMAs (9, 20, 34, 50), indicating strong immediate-term bullish sentiment. It is near its day high (₹443.7), reflecting sustained buying interest. The Supertrend (10, 3) at ₹409.53 confirms a bullish trend. Price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band (₹449.27), suggesting strong momentum but also potential for short-term resistance or consolidation.
Oscillators & Momentum: The MACD shows a bullish crossover (Line 3.7 > Signal 2.25) with a positive histogram (1.44), indicating strengthening positive momentum. RSI(14) at 57.66 is healthy, not yet overbought for daily charts. However, the Stochastic %K at 92.86 is in highly overbought territory, suggesting potential for a near-term pullback or consolidation. ADX at 16.08 indicates a weak trend, but +DI (18.8) is above -DI (15.79), showing nascent bullish directional strength.

News & Sentiment Impact:

The recent Q1 CY2026 results from Varun Beverages appear positive, highlighting good revenue, PAT, and volume growth, along with dividend details. This fundamental strength acts as a significant catalyst for both medium and long-term positive sentiment. The foray into the alcobev segment initially led to a ~3% fall and mixed analyst reactions (JP Morgan, CLSA expressing caution). However, the market seems to be digesting this news, with the stock recovering today. Long-term, this diversification could be a strategic growth driver, expanding VBL's addressable market beyond traditional beverages and positioning it for sustained growth. The overall corporate news sentiment for the medium and long term remains positive due to strong core business performance and strategic expansion, despite short-term analyst concerns on the new venture.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation ACTIVE_BUY

Entry Decision

⛔ AVOID

Position Health

🛡️ HEALTHY (Hold)

Session VWAP ₹441.13

Peak Drawdown from High -0.38%

Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹441.53 / ₹441.41

Audit Reason: UPTREND_HOLDING_VWAP (Above VWAP Rs.441.13 & EMA9 Rs.441.53)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 +1.03% (0.30x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

10:00 +1.97% (0.59x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

10:30 +1.94% (0.93x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

11:00 +1.74% (0.86x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

11:30 +1.42% (0.73x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

12:00 +1.68% (0.63x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

12:30 +1.80% (0.56x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

13:00 +1.80% (0.50x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

13:30 +1.77% (0.47x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

14:00 +1.94% (0.50x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD

14:30 +1.96% (0.46x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD

15:00 +1.85% (0.47x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹435.0

Day's High ₹443.7

Day's Low ₹434.0

VWAP ₹441.13

Distance from Day's High 0.38%

Distance from Day's Low 1.84%

52-Week High ₹555.8

52-Week Low ₹381.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 2536880

20-Day Avg Volume 4951881.35

Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.51x

Nifty 50 Change 1.6%

Relative Strength vs. Nifty 0.4%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters	Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals	Verdict & Bias
RSI (14)	57.66	Bullish (55–70)
Average True Range (ATR 14)	₹10.14 (2.29% of Price)	Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3)	%K: 92.86 %D: 81.59	Overbought (≥80)
StochRSI (14)	%K: 10.85 %D: 7.68	Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI	ADX: 16.08 +DI: 18.8 -DI: 15.79	Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO)	60.87	Bullish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum	ROC: 2.49% Momentum (10D): ₹12.0	Bullish (+ROC)
Williams %R (14)	-7.14	Overbought (≥-20)
MACD (12, 26, 9)	MACD: 3.7 Signal: 2.25 Histogram: 1.44	Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3)	₹409.53 (Bullish)	Bullish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)	Upper: ₹449.27 Mid: ₹429.99 Lower: ₹410.72	Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR	₹422.5	Bullish (Price > SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20)	99.34	Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs)	20D: ₹429.99 34D: ₹422.75 50D: ₹427.61 89D: ₹455.74 200D: ₹463.84	Bullish (Price > 20D > 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)	9D: ₹436.08 20D: ₹431.71 34D: ₹431.47 50D: ₹435.33 89D: ₹445.47 200D: ₹455.65	Bullish Stack (Price > 9D > 20D)
TRIX (15)	0.0915%	Bullish (>0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Varun Beverages Q1 CY2026 Results: Good or Bad? Check Revenue, PAT, Volume Growth, Dividend Details - Goodreturns

Publisher: Goodreturns | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 12:16:18

Varun Beverages (NSEI:VBL) Stock Price - Simply Wall Street

Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:09:01

Varun Beverages (VBL) Share/Stock Price Live, NSE - TechGraph

Publisher: TechGraph | Published: Fri, 11 Sep 2026 03:46:12

Varun Beverages shares rise 2.11% to Rs 443.00 - TradingView

Publisher: TradingView | Published: Mon, 17 Aug 2026 07:00:00

Varun Beverages shares fall 3% after foray into alcobev segment; here’s what JP Morgan, CLSA analysts said - Upstox

Publisher: Upstox | Published: Tue, 25 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.

EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.

ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.

VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.

RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.

RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.

ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.

Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.

Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.

Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.

Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.

Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.

Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.

Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.

Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).