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₹357.05
-10.5 (-2.86%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"VAML is trading near its lifetime and 52-week low of ₹356.0, currently at ₹357.05 down 2.86%. With severe oversold conditions (RSI at 18.36, Williams %R at -99.15) and weak volume participation (RVOL 0.18x), the stock is experiencing strong downward pressure. However, strong fundamental catalysts such as a 3x jump in Q1 profit to ₹6,597 Cr and analyst coverage projecting upside provide a solid foundation for medium to long-term accumulation despite short-term weakness and regulatory noise."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 3/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 09:32. The stock continues to print lower levels (-4.45% at 09:32) with abysmal volume (RVOL 0.11x-0.18x). Despite extreme oversold oscillators, the lack of institutional buying interest and ongoing intraday bleed make a long setup dangerous, while shorting near the 52-week low/support level offers poor risk-reward.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: The stock is sitting near its key 52-week low and lower Bollinger band support with RSI deeply oversold below 20. While trend indicators are bearish, mean-reversion toward the middle Bollinger band or 20D SMA is highly probable over the next few weeks, backed by strong fundamental earnings performance.
Entry: ₹350 - ₹360
SL: ₹340
Target: ₹400
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: VAML's robust post-demerger earnings (Q1 profit up 3x to ₹6,597 Cr) and positive institutional coverage (such as Systematix initiating coverage with 28% upside potential) provide strong fundamental catalysts. Accumulating near multi-month lows positions investors well for a secular recovery as sector dynamics and overhangs normalize.
Entry: Accumulate on dips between ₹340 - ₹360
SL: ₹320
Target: ₹480

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action is heavily depressed, resting just above the 52-week low of ₹356.0 and trading below the VWAP (₹357.99) and key moving averages (20D SMA at ₹401.57, 50D EMA at ₹419.22). The stock is testing the lower Bollinger Band (₹352.36), and the Supertrend is bearish at ₹405.23.
  • Momentum oscillators indicate extreme oversold conditions: RSI(14) at 18.36, Stochastic %K at 0.85, and Williams %R at -99.15. The MACD remains negative with a widening histogram (-4.16), showing ongoing bearish momentum with a low ADX (15.45) implying a lack of strong trending momentum despite the sharp sell-off.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates highlight a massive Q1 profit jump of 3x to ₹6,597 Cr post-demerger, contrasting with the stock trading near its lifetime low. While CLSA notes muted medium-term impact from the Odisha HC order and Systematix has initiated coverage with up to 28% upside potential, the current sentiment remains cautious, offering deep value for long-term investors willing to weather near-term volatility.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹357.99
Peak Drawdown from High -2.78%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹357.42 / ₹357.88
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-2.8% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:23 -4.01% (0.06x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
09:32 -4.45% (0.11x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹367.0
Day's High ₹367.25
Day's Low ₹356.0
VWAP ₹357.99
Distance from Day's High 2.78%
Distance from Day's Low 0.29%
52-Week High ₹537.0
52-Week Low ₹356.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 1632199
20-Day Avg Volume 9297174.0
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.18x
Nifty 50 Change 0.0%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -2.86%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 18.36 Oversold (≤30)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹17.04 (4.77% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 0.85 %D: 2.91 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 0.0 %D: 0.0 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 15.45 +DI: 20.69 -DI: 32.08 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 24.81 Oversold (≤30)
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -15.0% Momentum (10D): ₹-55.85 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -99.15 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -18.0 Signal: -13.84 Histogram: -4.16 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹405.23 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹450.79 Mid: ₹401.57 Lower: ₹352.36 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹430.49 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -142.29 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹401.57 34D: ₹415.22 50D: ₹427.75 89D: ₹357.05 200D: ₹427.75 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹378.37 20D: ₹395.7 34D: ₹408.93 50D: ₹419.22 89D: ₹436.01 200D: ₹459.49 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.4603% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Share Price today near lifetime low - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Mon, 12 Oct 2026 05:24:00
Vedanta Aluminium shares: CLSA sees muted medium-term impact from Odisha HC order - Business Today
Publisher: Business Today | Published: Mon, 05 Oct 2026 07:00:00
VAML Q1 Profit Jumps 3x to ₹6,597 Cr After Demerger - HDFC Sky
Publisher: HDFC Sky | Published: Thu, 30 Jul 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).