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VAML NSE Segment

⏱️ Last Scan Run: 2026-10-14 06:49 AM IST

₹374.45
+0.95 (+0.25%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"VAML is trading near its 52-week low of ₹367.0 with subdued volume (RVOL 0.34x), indicating a lack of strong institutional participation despite a positive late-day recovery into positive territory (+0.25%). Technically, the stock remains in a medium-term downtrend, trading well below key moving averages and the Supertrend level of ₹417.21, with RSI indicating oversold conditions. However, stellar fundamental triggers—such as Q1 profit jumping 3x post-demerger and institutional coverage by Systematix pointing to a 28% upside—provide a strong foundation for accumulation despite near-term volatility and muted Odisha HC order concerns."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. Although the stock showed a late surge into positive territory at the close (+0.27%), the day's volume ratio (RVOL 0.34x) is extremely anemic, indicating a lack of genuine liquidity and institutional backing to sustain a momentum-based intraday trade.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: The stock is testing major historical support near its 52-week low of ₹367 with extremely oversold technical indicators (RSI < 30, lower Bollinger Band touch). Combined with exceptional post-demerger Q1 earnings (₹6,597 Cr profit), this sets up a classic mean-reversion swing trade back toward the 20-day SMA and Supertrend resistance.
Entry: ₹365 - ₹375
SL: ₹355
Target: ₹420
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: Strong fundamentals following the demerger and stellar Q1 profitability provide an attractive entry point near multi-month lows. Institutional coverage initiation with targets pointing to significant upside makes current levels a prime long-term accumulation zone for patient investors willing to look past near-term regulatory noise.
Entry: Accumulate on dips near ₹350 - ₹375
SL: ₹330
Target: ₹480

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price is hovering near ₹374.45, just above the day's low and 52-week low of ₹367.0, while trading below the VWAP for most of the session before a late recovery. It remains heavily discounted relative to the 20D SMA (₹406.11) and 50D SMA (₹431.81), lingering near the lower Bollinger Band (₹364.98).
  • RSI(14) at 27.67, combined with deeply oversold Stochastic readings (%K 6.07) and a negative MACD histogram (-3.99), signals heavy exhaustion of selling pressure. However, the ADX at 15.05 indicates the absence of a strong directional trend in the immediate term.

News & Sentiment Impact:

The news flow presents a compelling dichotomy: short-term sentiment is weighed down by the stock trading near its lifetime low and minor concerns regarding the Odisha HC order (noted by CLSA). Conversely, fundamental strength is highlighted by an impressive 3x jump in Q1 profit post-demerger to ₹6,597 Cr. Furthermore, institutional initiation by brokerages like Systematix with targets suggesting up to 28% upside points to attractive long-term value creation at these depressed valuations.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation ACTIVE_BUY

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🛡️ HEALTHY (Hold)
Session VWAP ₹371.81
Peak Drawdown from High -0.36%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹373.42 / ₹372.5
Audit Reason: UPTREND_HOLDING_VWAP (Above VWAP Rs.371.81 & EMA9 Rs.373.42)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:22 -1.00% (0.03x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
09:32 -0.68% (0.04x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
10:02 -0.56% (0.06x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
10:32 -0.72% (0.08x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
11:02 -0.51% (0.09x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
11:32 -0.62% (0.11x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:02 -0.58% (0.12x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
12:32 -0.36% (0.14x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
13:02 -0.92% (0.15x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
13:34 -0.82% (0.17x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
14:02 -0.55% (0.19x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
14:32 -0.84% (0.21x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:02 -0.62% (0.23x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:31 +0.27% (0.32x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹371.2
Day's High ₹375.8
Day's Low ₹367.0
VWAP ₹371.81
Distance from Day's High 0.36%
Distance from Day's Low 2.03%
52-Week High ₹537.0
52-Week Low ₹367.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 3223814
20-Day Avg Volume 9582000.7
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.34x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -1.35%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 27.67 Oversold (≤30)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹17.29 (4.62% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 6.07 %D: 4.66 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 0.0 %D: 3.65 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 15.05 +DI: 23.14 -DI: 30.01 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 29.64 Oversold (≤30)
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -12.95% Momentum (10D): ₹-46.25 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -93.93 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -15.83 Signal: -11.83 Histogram: -3.99 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹417.21 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹447.23 Mid: ₹406.11 Lower: ₹364.98 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹447.39 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -147.19 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹406.11 34D: ₹420.69 50D: ₹431.81 89D: ₹374.45 200D: ₹431.81 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹387.74 20D: ₹403.16 34D: ₹414.77 50D: ₹423.97 89D: ₹439.41 200D: ₹461.46 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.3893% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. Share Price Today - Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. Stock Price Live NSE/BSE - CNBC TV18
Publisher: CNBC TV18 | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 10:27:00
Vedanta Aluminium Metal Share Price today near lifetime low - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Mon, 12 Oct 2026 05:24:00
Vedanta Aluminium shares: CLSA sees muted medium-term impact from Odisha HC order - Business Today
Publisher: Business Today | Published: Mon, 05 Oct 2026 04:46:18
VAML Q1 Profit Jumps 3x to ₹6,597 Cr After Demerger - HDFC Sky
Publisher: HDFC Sky | Published: Thu, 30 Jul 2026 07:00:00
Vedanta Aluminium shares can rally up to 28%? Why Systematix initiated coverage on the stock - The Economic Times
Publisher: The Economic Times | Published: Wed, 05 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).