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POLYCAB NSE Segment

⏱️ Last Scan Run: 2026-10-15 09:46 AM IST

₹8316.5

-18.5 (-0.22%)

⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Polycab is currently trading at ₹8316.50, exhibiting low intraday volume (RVOL 0.18x) and consolidation near its VWAP of ₹8308.01. While the immediate price action holds above the 20-day SMA, the stock is facing near-term headwinds following negative corporate news regarding its upcoming F&O exclusion by the NSE and subsequent selling pressure. The technical indicators show a mixed picture with a positive MACD histogram (47.99) but a bearish Supertrend at ₹8529.91 and an ADX of 26.63 indicating moderate trend strength. Swing and long-term outlooks remain cautious due to F&O exclusion concerns and recent downward momentum."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade

Conviction: 4/10

Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 09:30. The Volume Ratio (RVOL) is extremely low at 0.18x compared to the 20-day average, signaling a lack of institutional participation and liquidity for meaningful intraday expansion. Range-bound action near VWAP suggests waiting for a clearer catalyst.

Entry: N/A

SL: N/A

Target: N/A

Swing (1-6 Mo) SELL

Conviction: 6/10

Rationale: Negative news flow regarding the F&O segment exclusion by the NSE combined with the stock trading below key resistance levels like the 50-day EMA and Supertrend creates downside vulnerability over a 1-6 month horizon.

Entry: ₹8350 - ₹8450

SL: ₹8650

Target: ₹7900

Long Term (1+ Yr) HOLD

Conviction: 5/10

Rationale: Despite strong historical fundamentals and sector positioning, the regulatory F&O exclusion and recent structural selling pressure warrant a cautious stance. Long-term investors should wait for stabilization and valuation floors near strong historical supports before scaling in significantly.

Entry: Accumulate near ₹7500 - ₹7800

SL: ₹6600

Target: ₹9500

Technical Analysis & Overview:

Price action is hovering tightly around the VWAP (₹8308.01) and 20-day EMA (₹8305.74), trapped between the Bollinger Bands middle band (₹8255.95) and upper band (₹8526.47). The stock remains below the bearish Supertrend line at ₹8529.91 and the 50-day EMA (₹8540.63), indicating underlying medium-term resistance.
RSI(14) stands neutral at 48.18, reflecting indecision, while Stochastic %K (75.68) and StochRSI indicate a mild short-term bounce within a broader consolidation range. MACD shows a positive histogram (47.99) despite a negative line (-80.81), and ADX at 26.63 signals a developing trend that could expand soon.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent news headlines highlighting Polycab shares falling due to the NSE's decision to exclude the company from the Futures & Options (F&O) segment have triggered notable selloffs and institutional caution. Analysts warning of further near-term selling pressure and short-term volatility are weighing on investor sentiment, creating a headwind for swing and medium-term positions until the structural adjustments post-F&O exclusion fully settle.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision

🟡 WAIT (Pending)

Position Health

⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)

Session VWAP ₹8308.01

Peak Drawdown from High -0.67%

Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹8320.7 / ₹8327.3

Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-0.7% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.8320.70)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.02% (2.36x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹8350.0

Day's High ₹8372.5

Day's Low ₹8213.5

VWAP ₹8308.01

Distance from Day's High 0.67%

Distance from Day's Low 1.25%

52-Week High ₹10126.0

52-Week Low ₹6663.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 84104

20-Day Avg Volume 460525.0

Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.18x

Nifty 50 Change 0.0%

Relative Strength vs. Nifty -0.22%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters	Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals	Verdict & Bias
RSI (14)	48.18	Neutral (45–55)
Average True Range (ATR 14)	₹238.5 (2.87% of Price)	Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3)	%K: 75.68 %D: 74.59	Bullish (%K > %D)
StochRSI (14)	%K: 60.03 %D: 58.16	Bullish (%K > %D)
ADX (14) & DMI	ADX: 26.63 +DI: 15.04 -DI: 27.8	Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO)	65.62	Bullish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum	ROC: 1.53% Momentum (10D): ₹290.5	Bullish (+ROC)
Williams %R (14)	-24.32	Bullish
MACD (12, 26, 9)	MACD: -80.81 Signal: -128.8 Histogram: 47.99	Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3)	₹8529.91 (Bearish)	Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)	Upper: ₹8526.47 Mid: ₹8255.95 Lower: ₹7985.43	Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR	₹8456.46	Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20)	36.07	Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs)	20D: ₹8255.95 34D: ₹8393.84 50D: ₹8646.03 89D: ₹8972.14 200D: ₹8424.34	Neutral / Mixed Stack
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)	9D: ₹8276.57 20D: ₹8305.74 34D: ₹8422.01 50D: ₹8540.63 89D: ₹8653.08 200D: ₹8492.5	Neutral / Mixed Stack
TRIX (15)	-0.2327%	Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Polycab India shares fall 6% in two sessions. What’s triggering the selloff? - The Economic Times

Publisher: The Economic Times | Published: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 05:21:51

Polycab India shares slip over 5% before rebounding; here's what is happening - Business Today

Publisher: Business Today | Published: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 04:26:44

Polycab shares fall up to 5% as NSE to exclude company from F&O segment - Moneycontrol.com

Publisher: Moneycontrol.com | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 05:57:32

Polycab shares fall 5% on F&O exclusion - Analysts warn of further selling pressure - CNBC TV18

Publisher: CNBC TV18 | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 03:08:20

Polycab India Share Price News: Price Action and Valuation - Univest

Publisher: Univest | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 12:45:50

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.

EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.

ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.

VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.

RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.

RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.

Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.

ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.

Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.

Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.

CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.

Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.

Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.

Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.

Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.

Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.

Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).