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₹121510.0
-1000.0 (-0.82%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"MRF is trading near its 52-week low at ₹121,510, showing persistent weakness following a 6% YoY dip in Q1 PAT and margin contraction. Technicians highlight heavy bearish momentum, trading below key EMAs and near the lower Bollinger Band, although oversold conditions on Stochastic and Williams %R suggest a potential short-term bounce or consolidation near support."

Intraday (1 Day) SELL
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 09:30. The early morning scan showed high volume (3.47x) on the downside, and price continues to trade below VWAP and near day lows, signaling continuation of intraday bearish pressure.
Entry: ₹121600 - ₹121800
SL: ₹122300
Target: ₹121000
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: The stock is testing key 52-week lows and lower Bollinger band limits with oversold oscillators. While earnings headwinds create fundamental headwinds, potential mean reversion near major support warrants a hold stance rather than fresh aggressive shorting.
Entry: ₹120000 - ₹121500
SL: ₹119000
Target: ₹126000
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: Despite near-term margin contraction and earnings dips, MRF remains a market leader in the Indian tire and auto-ancillary space with strong structural growth drivers. Accumulating near multi-month lows offers a favorable long-term entry point.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹121000
SL: ₹110000
Target: ₹150000

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action is trading slightly below VWAP (₹121,796) and near the day's low, testing the lower Bollinger Band (₹121,408.8) and 52-week low (₹121,310). The stock remains well below all key SMAs and EMAs (20D, 50D, 200D), and the Supertrend at ₹126,316.42 confirms a strong structural downtrend. ADX at 33.13 indicates a solid trend strength supporting the downside.
  • RSI(14) is at 34.51 (approaching oversold), and Stochastic %K is extremely low at 4.45, reflecting exhaustion in selling pressure. However, MACD remains negative with the line below the signal line, confirming ongoing medium-term bearish momentum.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate news reflects earnings pressure, with Q1 PAT dropping 6% YoY and margins contracting despite revenue growth, leading to downward pressure on the stock. While analysts note the stock is cheaper on valuations compared to historical highs, near-term sentiment remains cautious until margin recovery signs appear.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
🟢 NO_BUY
Position Health
⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)
Session VWAP ₹121796.84
Peak Drawdown from High -0.82%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹121764.98 / ₹121909.69
Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-0.8% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.121764.98)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.61% (3.47x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹122490.0
Day's High ₹122515.0
Day's Low ₹121310.0
VWAP ₹121796.84
Distance from Day's High 0.82%
Distance from Day's Low 0.16%
52-Week High ₹163600.0
52-Week Low ₹121310.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 942
20-Day Avg Volume 2838.1
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.33x
Nifty 50 Change 0.0%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -0.82%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 34.51 Bearish (≤45)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹1408.21 (1.16% of Price) Low Volatility / Squeeze
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 4.45 %D: 11.95 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 75.74 %D: 82.22 Bearish (%K < %D)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 33.13 +DI: 8.14 -DI: 22.5 Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 36.34 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -2.04% Momentum (10D): ₹-1570.0 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -95.55 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -1796.51 Signal: -1848.05 Histogram: 51.53 Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹126316.42 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹126037.2 Mid: ₹123723.0 Lower: ₹121408.8 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹124795.78 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -150.28 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹123723.0 34D: ₹126467.06 50D: ₹128577.2 89D: ₹129585.67 200D: ₹133675.65 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹122732.47 20D: ₹124139.46 34D: ₹125745.79 50D: ₹126984.83 89D: ₹128957.4 200D: ₹134125.58 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.2199% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

MRF shares gain over 2% to Rs 133,700.00 - TradingView
Publisher: TradingView | Published: Fri, 14 Aug 2026 07:00:00
Lofty on share price, cheaper on valuation: ₹1.27 lakh MRF beats Nifty Auto - Business Standard
Publisher: Business Standard | Published: Fri, 29 May 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).