Analyzing Stock...
Downloading quotes and generating insights. Please wait.
₹122510.0
+420.0 (+0.34%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"MRF is trading near its 52-week low at ₹122,510, reflecting weak institutional participation with a low RVOL of 0.45x and negative relative strength (-1.26%) compared to a strong Nifty 50. Bearish trends are highlighted by price remaining well below key EMAs and the Supertrend at ₹127,164.8, compounded by margin contraction and profit dips in Q1 results. However, oversold oscillators suggest potential for minor bounce plays, though long-term and swing sentiments remain cautious."

Intraday (1 Day) BUY
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The late session push to positive territory (+0.28%) near close accompanied by price holding above VWAP (₹122,417.82) and bouncing slightly off the day's low provides a tactical, high-risk scalp opportunity for a mean-reversion bounce toward the mid-day resistance.
Entry: ₹122300 - ₹122500
SL: ₹121750
Target: ₹123500
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: The medium-term trend is strongly bearish with the stock trading near 52-week lows and below major EMAs. While oversold RSI levels suggest a bounce may occur near the lower Bollinger Band support, weak Q1 earnings and margin pressures argue against fresh aggressive long swing positions.
Entry: ₹121500 - ₹122500
SL: ₹120500
Target: ₹127000
Long Term (1+ Yr) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: MRF remains a fundamental category leader, but current technicals show clear underperformance relative to the broader market and continuous margin pressures. Long-term investors should wait for structural trend reversals above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs before initiating major accumulation.
Entry: Accumulate on deeper dips near ₹120000
SL: ₹115000
Target: ₹140000

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action is consolidating slightly above the 52-week low of ₹121,870 and hugging the lower Bollinger Band (₹121,355.15), trading marginally above VWAP (₹122,417.82). It remains deeply discounted relative to short and long-term EMAs (9D at ₹123,170, 50D at ₹127,400, 200D at ₹134,508) and beneath a bearish Supertrend resistance at ₹127,164.8.
  • RSI at 36.54 and Stochastic %K at 13.74 indicate oversold conditions, hinting at a potential relief bounce. However, MACD remains negative with the line at -1832.49, ADX at 31.26 confirms a solid underlying downward trend, and weak volume (RVOL 0.45x) demonstrates a lack of aggressive institutional buying support.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates highlight a 6% YoY dip in PAT to Rs 479 crore for Q1, accompanied by sharp margin contractions, EBITDA decline, and general stock pressure toward yearly lows. This fundamental weakness aligns with technical indicators, creating persistent headwinds for swing and long-term recovery despite sporadic short-covering spikes.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🛡️ HEALTHY (Hold)
Session VWAP ₹122417.82
Peak Drawdown from High -0.3%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹122468.48 / ₹122425.16
Audit Reason: UPTREND_HOLDING_VWAP (Above VWAP Rs.122417.82 & EMA9 Rs.122468.48)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:22 -0.01% (0.05x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
09:32 -0.01% (0.07x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:02 +0.09% (0.11x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:32 +0.05% (0.12x) ⚪ WAIT MONITOR
11:02 -0.04% (0.14x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
11:32 -0.05% (0.15x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:02 +0.04% (0.15x) ⚪ WAIT MONITOR
12:32 +0.03% (0.16x) ⚪ WAIT MONITOR
13:02 -0.03% (0.17x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
13:34 -0.09% (0.17x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
14:02 -0.05% (0.19x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
14:32 -0.04% (0.21x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:02 -0.05% (0.28x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:31 +0.28% (0.37x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹122875.0
Day's High ₹122875.0
Day's Low ₹121805.0
VWAP ₹122417.82
Distance from Day's High 0.3%
Distance from Day's Low 0.58%
52-Week High ₹163600.0
52-Week Low ₹121870.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 1351
20-Day Avg Volume 2988.7
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.45x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -1.26%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 36.54 Bearish (≤45)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹1383.93 (1.13% of Price) Low Volatility / Squeeze
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 13.74 %D: 9.89 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 83.78 %D: 82.03 Overbought (≥80)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 31.26 +DI: 9.05 -DI: 20.67 Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 35.33 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -1.74% Momentum (10D): ₹-1625.0 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -86.26 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -1832.49 Signal: -1881.42 Histogram: 48.93 Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹127164.8 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹127097.35 Mid: ₹124226.25 Lower: ₹121355.15 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹125259.2 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -112.67 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹124226.25 34D: ₹127132.94 50D: ₹129026.8 89D: ₹129611.57 200D: ₹133984.75 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹123170.1 20D: ₹124616.9 34D: ₹126214.18 50D: ₹127400.15 89D: ₹129283.66 200D: ₹134508.37 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.2236% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

MRF Share Price Near Yearly Low: Technicals and Fundamentals - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Thu, 01 Oct 2026 00:19:04
MRF shares gain over 2% to Rs 133,700.00 - TradingView
Publisher: TradingView | Published: Fri, 14 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).