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₹126.82
-0.98 (-0.77%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"IOC is currently trading near its 52-week low at ₹126.82, displaying weak near-term momentum with low volume participation (RVOL 0.12x). Technical indicators are heavily bearish on intraday and swing frames, with RSI at 30.27 and the price sitting below all key moving averages and the Supertrend at ₹133.65. However, positive medium-to-long-term fundamental catalysts such as solid quarterly earnings growth, upcoming dividend records, and support near the lower Bollinger Band offer value-buying potential for long-term investors, while caution is required for immediate horizons."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 09:30. The extreme low volume ratio (0.12x) and persistent weakness near the 52-week low point to lack of institutional participation and range-bound/choppy downside drifting, making it unfavorable for a clean intraday setup.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: The stock is deeply oversold with RSI near 30 and hugging the lower Bollinger band. Although medium-term moving averages are bearish, risk-reward favors holding or minor mean-reversion bounce toward the middle band rather than initiating fresh short positions.
Entry: ₹125.00 - ₹127.00
SL: ₹122.00
Target: ₹135.00
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: Strong fundamental tailwinds including robust earnings growth, attractive dividend yields, and long-term energy sector positioning present an attractive accumulation zone near 52-week lows despite short-term technical weakness.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹126.00
SL: ₹115.00
Target: ₹160.00

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action is sluggish near the day's low of ₹126.51 and slightly below VWAP (₹126.87). The stock remains well below its major EMAs (9D ₹128.14, 20D ₹130.66, 50D ₹134.37) and the Supertrend resistance at ₹133.65. It is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band of ₹123.17.
  • RSI at 30.27 indicates deeply oversold conditions approaching extreme levels, supported by Stochastic %K at 15.65. MACD remains negative with a declining histogram (-0.45), while ADX at 30.99 confirms a strong ongoing downside trend.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates reflect strong fundamental performance, highlighted by a notable 78% YoY jump in Q4 net profit and announcements of 12% dividend payouts. While broader sector trends and crude oil fluctuations create short-term volatility and touch 52-week lows, these fundamental drivers provide a strong underlying safety net, favoring accumulation on dips for long-term investors.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
🟢 NO_BUY
Position Health
⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)
Session VWAP ₹126.87
Peak Drawdown from High -0.84%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹126.83 / ₹126.93
Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-0.8% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.126.83)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.90% (1.42x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹127.9
Day's High ₹127.9
Day's Low ₹126.51
VWAP ₹126.87
Distance from Day's High 0.84%
Distance from Day's Low 0.25%
52-Week High ₹188.96
52-Week Low ₹124.92

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 970240
20-Day Avg Volume 8184156.05
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.12x
Nifty 50 Change 0.0%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -0.77%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 30.27 Bearish (≤45)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹2.82 (2.22% of Price) Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 15.65 %D: 15.61 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 21.11 %D: 12.54 Bullish (%K > %D)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 30.99 +DI: 14.71 -DI: 27.39 Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 37.46 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -4.88% Momentum (10D): ₹-8.11 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -84.35 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -2.73 Signal: -2.28 Histogram: -0.45 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹133.65 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹140.57 Mid: ₹131.87 Lower: ₹123.17 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹131.37 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -91.89 Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹131.87 34D: ₹133.59 50D: ₹135.54 89D: ₹138.06 200D: ₹147.06 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹128.14 20D: ₹130.66 34D: ₹132.73 50D: ₹134.37 89D: ₹137.43 200D: ₹143.63 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.2381% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Indian Oil (IOC) Share Price Today, Live Chart, News - TechGraph
Publisher: TechGraph | Published: Wed, 14 Oct 2026 05:55:00
IOC Share Price: Fresh 52-Week Low and Crude Oil Sector - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 07:00:00
IOC shares jump 3% after Q4 net profit rises 78% YoY. Here's what Motilal Oswal says - The Economic Times
Publisher: The Economic Times | Published: Tue, 19 May 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).