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IOC NSE Segment

⏱️ Last Scan Run: 2026-10-14 06:49 AM IST

₹126.14
+0.79 (+0.63%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) trades near its 52-week low at ₹126.14, showing oversold conditions on technical indicators like RSI(14) at 25.23 and Williams %R at -91.71. Despite strong fundamental catalysts including recent robust Q4 earnings growth, positive dividend announcements, and tailwinds from falling global crude prices, the stock is currently under heavy intermediate bearish pressure, trading well below all major moving averages and the Supertrend resistance at ₹133.65. Intraday price action shows late buying momentum pushing prices above VWAP (₹125.60) to close near the day high of ₹126.21."

Intraday (1 Day) BUY
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The price demonstrated a late-session recovery, moving from morning lows of ₹125.0 up to a close near the day's high of ₹126.21, supported by volume pickup in the final checkpoints and trading marginally above VWAP (₹125.60). A tight risk-reward long trade is viable targeting minor intraday resistance.
Entry: ₹125.80 - ₹126.14
SL: ₹124.90
Target: ₹127.20
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: The stock is deeply oversold near its 52-week low with RSI deeply compressed near 25, setting up a classic mean-reversion swing trade back toward the 20-day moving average and middle Bollinger Band (₹132.48 - ₹134.00). Positive Q4 profit growth and supportive dividend announcements cushion downside risk.
Entry: ₹124.50 - ₹126.50
SL: ₹122.00
Target: ₹134.00
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: As a leading Maharatna PSU with strong earnings performance, consistent dividend payouts, and tailwinds from lower global crude oil prices, IOC offers tremendous value at these depressed valuation levels near multi-month lows. Long-term accumulation provides an attractive margin of safety and regular dividend yields.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹125.00
SL: ₹110.00
Target: ₹160.00

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price is trading slightly above VWAP (₹125.60) near the day's high of ₹126.21, but remains constrained well below key exponential and simple moving averages, including the 20D EMA (₹131.41) and the 200D EMA (₹144.09). The Supertrend (10,3) at ₹133.65 and Parabolic SAR at ₹133.44 confirm a dominant macro bearish trend. Bollinger Band lower support sits at ₹124.30, acting as a critical floor.
  • Momentum oscillators indicate extreme oversold territory, with RSI(14) at 25.23, CCI at -146.3, and Williams %R at -91.71, raising probabilities of a mean-reversion bounce. However, the MACD histogram remains negative (-0.77) and ADX at 31.06 signals that the prevailing downtrend remains strong.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates reflect strong fundamental health, highlighted by a 78% YoY jump in Q4 net profit, ongoing dividend distributions, and favorable macro conditions with crude oil prices dipping below $85 acting as a positive catalyst for crude-sensitive refiners like IOC. While short-term technicals face headwinds pushing the stock toward 52-week lows, these positive corporate catalysts and regular dividend yields present a strong value accumulation thesis for medium-to-long-term investors.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation ACTIVE_BUY

Entry Decision
🟢 INITIAL_BUY
Position Health
🛡️ HEALTHY (Hold)
Session VWAP ₹125.6
Peak Drawdown from High -0.06%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹125.88 / ₹125.71
Audit Reason: UPTREND_HOLDING_VWAP (Above VWAP Rs.125.60 & EMA9 Rs.125.88)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:22 +0.37% (0.05x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
09:32 +0.14% (0.08x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:02 +0.09% (0.15x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:32 -0.01% (0.19x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
11:02 -0.25% (0.23x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
11:32 -0.19% (0.26x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
12:02 -0.19% (0.29x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
12:32 -0.02% (0.31x) ⚪ WAIT MONITOR
13:02 -0.06% (0.34x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
13:34 +0.02% (0.37x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
14:02 +0.08% (0.39x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
14:32 +0.11% (0.43x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD
15:02 +0.24% (0.51x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:31 +0.63% (0.82x) ⛔ AVOID 🛡️ HOLD

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹125.85
Day's High ₹126.21
Day's Low ₹125.0
VWAP ₹125.6
Distance from Day's High 0.06%
Distance from Day's Low 0.91%
52-Week High ₹188.96
52-Week Low ₹125.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 6250457
20-Day Avg Volume 8834457.35
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.71x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -0.97%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 25.23 Oversold (≤30)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹2.82 (2.24% of Price) Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 8.29 %D: 5.52 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 0.0 %D: 0.0 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 31.06 +DI: 11.67 -DI: 30.84 Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 32.71 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -7.43% Momentum (10D): ₹-7.18 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -91.71 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -2.8 Signal: -2.03 Histogram: -0.77 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹133.65 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹140.66 Mid: ₹132.48 Lower: ₹124.3 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹133.44 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -146.3 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹132.48 34D: ₹134.29 50D: ₹136.16 89D: ₹138.27 200D: ₹147.42 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹128.63 20D: ₹131.41 34D: ₹133.41 50D: ₹134.96 89D: ₹137.9 200D: ₹144.09 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.2079% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

PSU Dividend Delight: THIS Maharatna PSU Fixes Record Date For 12% Dividend | Do You Own? - Goodreturns
Publisher: Goodreturns | Published: Mon, 12 Oct 2026 15:11:17
IOC Share Price: Fresh 52-Week Low and Crude Oil Sector - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 07:00:00
IOC shares jump 3% after Q4 net profit rises 78% YoY. Here's what Motilal Oswal says - The Economic Times
Publisher: The Economic Times | Published: Tue, 19 May 2026 07:00:00
Eternal, IOC, IndiGo, other crude-sensitive shares gain up to 4% as oil falls below $85 - Moneycontrol.com
Publisher: Moneycontrol.com | Published: Mon, 03 Aug 2026 07:00:00
Here's What We Like About Indian Oil's (NSE:IOC) Upcoming Dividend - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Mon, 10 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).