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₹2723.0
-70.9 (-2.54%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"WELCORP is exhibiting corrective price action today, trading down 2.54% at ₹2723.0 amid broader Nifty gains, showing notable relative weakness. Despite recent block deals involving institutional buyers like Capital Group and Aberdeen alongside insider sales by CEO Vipul Mathur, the stock remains well-supported by key medium-to-long term moving averages. Technicals show a consolidation phase near the middle Bollinger Band and 20D EMA, offering a balanced risk-reward profile for swing and long-term accumulators while presenting short-term intraday volatility."

Intraday (1 Day) HOLD
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The stock recovered from an intraday low of -4.08% at 13:02 to close the session near -2.50% at 15:31, crossing back above VWAP (₹2713.14). Low RVOL (0.63x) suggests muted institutional participation today, favoring a cautious hold stance.
Entry: ₹2710 - ₹2720
SL: ₹2660
Target: ₹2780
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: The stock is consolidating near the 20-day SMA and middle Bollinger Band following recent block deals by global institutional investors. This pullback offers a favorable entry point for a mean-reversion swing toward the upper Bollinger Band resistance near ₹2926.
Entry: ₹2650 - ₹2680
SL: ₹2550
Target: ₹2900
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: Welspun Corp maintains robust fundamental positioning with major institutional accumulation (Capital Group, Aberdeen) validating its multi-year business outlook. Strong distance above the rising 200D EMA (₹1425.44) and long-term Supertrend support indicate a durable structural bull market.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹2600
SL: ₹2200
Target: ₹3400

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action is currently hovering just above the VWAP (₹2713.14) and 9D EMA (₹2696.53), while finding strong baseline support from the 20D EMA (₹2649.94) and the middle Bollinger Band (₹2667.84). The stock is well below its day high of ₹2808.0 but has rebounded from an intraday low of ₹2663.7. The Supertrend (10, 3) remains bullish at ₹2379.85, confirming that the larger structural trend is intact.
  • RSI(14) is neutral at 49.94, reflecting a lack of strong directional momentum in the immediate term. The MACD histogram is negative (-20.26) with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating short-term bearish pressure. Stochastic %K at 62.22 and StochRSI %K at 33.51 suggest ongoing consolidation with room for a rebound if support holds.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates highlight significant institutional interest, with marquee names like Capital Group and Aberdeen acquiring a 2.4% stake via a ₹1,433 crore block deal. Although the stock experienced downward pressure due to insider sales (such as CEO Vipul Mathur participating as a seller), the strong institutional backing underpins strong fundamental confidence, supporting a positive long-term growth trajectory and higher valuation targets by 2027.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹2713.14
Peak Drawdown from High -3.03%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹2721.25 / ₹2715.01
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-3.0% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -2.40% (2.27x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:00 -2.10% (1.42x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:30 -2.61% (0.96x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:00 -3.03% (0.77x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:30 -3.23% (0.67x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:00 -3.47% (0.60x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:30 -3.42% (0.54x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:02 -4.08% (0.33x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:34 -3.77% (0.40x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:02 -2.82% (0.44x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:32 -3.15% (0.46x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:02 -1.88% (0.54x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:31 -2.50% (0.63x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹2800.0
Day's High ₹2808.0
Day's Low ₹2663.7
VWAP ₹2713.14
Distance from Day's High 3.03%
Distance from Day's Low 2.23%
52-Week High ₹2900.0
52-Week Low ₹710.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 1302205
20-Day Avg Volume 2069372.75
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.63x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -4.14%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 49.94 Neutral (45–55)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹150.38 (5.52% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 62.22 %D: 60.32 Bullish (%K > %D)
StochRSI (14) %K: 33.51 %D: 33.07 Bullish (%K > %D)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 23.98 +DI: 22.3 -DI: 18.08 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 56.74 Bullish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: 1.4% Momentum (10D): ₹-9.7 Bullish (+ROC)
Williams %R (14) -37.78 Bullish
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: 81.38 Signal: 101.64 Histogram: -20.26 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹2379.85 (Bullish) Bullish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹2926.36 Mid: ₹2667.84 Lower: ₹2409.33 Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹2848.63 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) 46.25 Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹2667.84 34D: ₹2610.25 50D: ₹2389.15 89D: ₹2009.72 200D: ₹1425.44 Bullish (Price > 20D > 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹2696.53 20D: ₹2649.94 34D: ₹2540.52 50D: ₹2403.03 89D: ₹2118.02 200D: ₹1655.12 Bullish Stack (Price > 9D > 20D)
TRIX (15) 0.5943% Bullish (>0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Welspun (NSEI:WELCORP) - Stock Analysis - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:00:00
Welspun Corp Share Price today: decline, valuation check - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Thu, 24 Sep 2026 08:38:00
WELCORP Forecast — Price Target — Prediction for 2027 - TradingView
Publisher: TradingView | Published: Thu, 25 Jun 2026 11:48:08

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).