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₹1406.5
-30.1 (-2.1%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"VIJAYA is experiencing a corrective phase intraday, down 2.1% against a strong Nifty 50 rally (+1.6%), displaying weak relative strength (-3.7%) and low volume participation (RVOL 0.58x). Technistically, the stock trades near its lower Bollinger Band and holds just above the Supertrend support at ₹1390.93. While momentum oscillators (RSI at 34.9 and StochRSI) indicate oversold conditions, the prevailing trend shows medium-term weakness. Recent news involving Vijay Kedia and political headlines regarding Tamil Nadu developments add noise, but price action dictates technical caution."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The stock showed persistent selling pressure down to an intraday low of ₹1397.1 and closed near ₹1406.5 with low volume confirmation (RVOL 0.58x). With weak relative strength against a rallying Nifty, the lack of a clear buying catalyst makes an intraday setup unfavorable.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: The stock is testing key structural support near the lower Bollinger Band and Supertrend level of ₹1390.93. Swing traders should wait for a confirmed reversal pattern or a reclaim of the 50D EMA before establishing fresh long positions.
Entry: ₹1380 - ₹1400
SL: ₹1350
Target: ₹1480
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: Trading well below its 52-week high of ₹1593.6 while holding above the critical 200-day moving average (₹1208.76), providing a strong structural base for accumulation supported by fundamental interest.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹1400
SL: ₹1200
Target: ₹1800

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • The stock trades at ₹1406.5, below its VWAP (₹1409.8) and major short-term EMAs (20D EMA at ₹1469.37), highlighting ongoing intraday weakness. It is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band (₹1387.32) and just above the Supertrend support at ₹1390.93.
  • RSI(14) at 34.9 and StochRSI %K at 10.5 reflect oversold territory with a potential for mean reversion, though MACD remains negative with a declining histogram (-7.92), indicating lack of strong upside momentum.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Corporate news mentions ace investor Vijay Kedia's portfolio performance and general news involving political figures named Vijay in Tamil Nadu. While high-profile investor backing provides long-term fundamental confidence, current headline noise does not override immediate technical weakness and divergence from broader market gains.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹1409.8
Peak Drawdown from High -3.59%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹1409.04 / ₹1408.45
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-3.6% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.53% (1.78x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:00 -0.46% (1.19x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:30 -0.64% (0.78x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:00 -0.82% (0.62x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:30 -1.00% (0.54x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:00 -1.13% (0.45x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:30 -1.13% (0.40x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:00 -1.23% (0.36x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:30 -1.48% (0.35x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:00 -1.88% (0.50x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:32 -3.59% (0.59x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:02 -3.59% (0.80x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:31 -2.59% (0.98x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹1442.1
Day's High ₹1458.8
Day's Low ₹1397.1
VWAP ₹1409.8
Distance from Day's High 3.59%
Distance from Day's Low 0.67%
52-Week High ₹1593.6
52-Week Low ₹848.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 72392
20-Day Avg Volume 125040.3
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.58x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -3.7%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 34.9 Bearish (≤45)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹51.93 (3.69% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 27.21 %D: 20.95 Bullish (%K > %D)
StochRSI (14) %K: 10.5 %D: 3.5 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 16.24 +DI: 18.17 -DI: 20.99 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 48.84 Neutral
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -7.55% Momentum (10D): ₹-61.5 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -72.79 Bearish
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -9.94 Signal: -2.03 Histogram: -7.92 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹1390.93 (Bullish) Bullish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹1577.19 Mid: ₹1482.25 Lower: ₹1387.32 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹1548.89 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -63.58 Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹1482.25 34D: ₹1485.41 50D: ₹1469.73 89D: ₹1412.31 200D: ₹1208.76 Neutral / Mixed Stack
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹1454.9 20D: ₹1469.37 34D: ₹1467.63 50D: ₹1452.83 89D: ₹1399.15 200D: ₹1270.72 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.0181% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).