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₹4540.0
-10.0 (-0.22%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-2.5-flash)

Market Analysis Summary:

"RADICO is currently exhibiting a strong long-term bullish trend, consistently trading above all major moving averages and nearing its 52-week high. While recent corporate news headlines and analyst reports indicate significant upside potential and positive sentiment, short-term technicals suggest a period of consolidation or minor pullback due to mixed oscillator signals and today's intraday underperformance relative to Nifty on subdued volume. The overarching sentiment remains positive for medium to long-term horizons."

Intraday (1 Day) No Intraday Trade
Conviction: 4/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:00. The intraday price action shows a gradual drift lower from the open, with the stock moving from -0.47% at 09:30 to -0.41% at 15:00, accompanied by consistently declining relative volume (RVOL from 0.77x to 0.30x). Although the stock recovered slightly post-15:00 to LTP -0.22%, the overall day is marked by below-average volume and underperformance against a strong Nifty (-1.82% RS). The LTP is marginally above VWAP, but the lack of strong directional conviction, conflicting short-term oscillators, and prevailing low volume do not support a high-conviction intraday trade setup. It is prudent to avoid new directional trades today.
Entry: N/A
SL: N/A
Target: N/A
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: RADICO is in a confirmed medium-term uptrend, trading above its 9D, 20D, 34D, and 50D EMAs, which are all in a bullish alignment. The recent bullish MACD crossover indicates renewed momentum. While some oscillators suggest short-term overbought conditions and the Supertrend is bearish, this is likely a healthy consolidation phase after a significant run-up (64% from March low). Strong positive analyst sentiment, including a projected 16% upside by JM Financial, provides a fundamental tailwind. A pullback towards the 50-day EMA (₹4397.79) or the Middle Bollinger Band (₹4444.4) should be viewed as an opportune entry point for a swing trade, aiming for a retest of the 52-week high (₹4747.0) and potentially a breakout.
Entry: ₹4400 - ₹4480
SL: ₹4250
Target: ₹4750 - ₹5000
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 9/10
Rationale: Radico Khaitan demonstrates a compelling long-term bullish narrative. The stock is significantly above its 200-day EMA (₹3805.81) and all other long-term moving averages, forming a robust ascending structure. Its strong performance, rallying 64% from its March low and consistently trading near its 52-week high (₹4747.0), signals a high probability of a sustained upward trajectory and a potential breakout into new price territories. The consistently positive corporate news flow, strong analyst recommendations, and favorable market sentiment solidify its fundamental strength. Investors should use any market-driven dips, especially towards the 89-day EMA (₹4213.67) or even the 200-day EMA, as accumulation opportunities to capitalize on its continued growth and sector leadership.
Entry: Accumulate on dips below ₹4500
SL: ₹3800
Target: ₹5500 - ₹6000

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • The LTP (₹4540) is trading slightly above today's VWAP (₹4535.83), indicating some support towards the end of the day, but overall intraday action showed weakness with declining RVOL. The price is well above all significant EMAs (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D), which are in a strong bullish alignment, confirming a robust long-term uptrend. While within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, the LTP is below the Upper Band, suggesting momentum without extreme overextension. However, the Supertrend (10, 3) at ₹4624.67 provides a bearish signal, as the current price is below this trailing stop.
  • MACD shows a recent bullish crossover with a positive histogram (12.85), indicating fresh upward momentum. However, the ADX at 18.58 is below 25, suggesting a weakening trend strength, despite +DI (22.28) being above -DI (13.84). Short-term oscillators like StochRSI (%K 81.28) and Stochastic (%K 84.42) are in overbought territory, signaling potential short-term exhaustion or a pullback. In contrast, the RSI (14) at 53.17 remains neutral, while CCI(20) at 114.67 indicates bullish momentum, leading to conflicting short-term signals.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate news provides a strong positive underpinning for Radico Khaitan. Headlines highlight analyst projections for a significant 16% upside (JM Financial), the stock hitting new highs, and a substantial 64% gain from its March low. The general sentiment across financial platforms (Simply Wall Street, TechGraph, Univest, Moneycontrol) is constructive, focusing on price action and valuation increases. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment from external analysis and recent performance acts as a powerful catalyst for medium to long-term growth, suggesting that any technical pullbacks are likely to be temporary and present accumulation opportunities for investors.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)
Session VWAP ₹4535.83
Peak Drawdown from High -1.43%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹4541.08 / ₹4538.08
Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-1.4% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.4541.08)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.47% (0.77x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
10:00 -0.31% (0.54x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
10:30 -0.16% (0.45x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
11:00 -0.02% (0.36x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
11:30 -0.25% (0.33x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:00 -0.17% (0.28x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:30 -0.18% (0.26x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
13:00 -0.33% (0.24x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
13:30 -0.27% (0.23x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
14:00 -0.49% (0.23x) 🟢 BUY ⚠️ RISK
14:30 -0.31% (0.26x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:00 -0.41% (0.30x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹4579.0
Day's High ₹4605.8
Day's Low ₹4505.1
VWAP ₹4535.83
Distance from Day's High 1.43%
Distance from Day's Low 0.77%
52-Week High ₹4747.0
52-Week Low ₹2500.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 216671
20-Day Avg Volume 308091.15
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.7x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -1.82%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 53.17 Neutral (45–55)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹128.78 (2.84% of Price) Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 84.42 %D: 71.68 Overbought (≥80)
StochRSI (14) %K: 81.28 %D: 71.78 Overbought (≥80)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 18.58 +DI: 22.28 -DI: 13.84 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 48.27 Neutral
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -1.02% Momentum (10D): ₹-2.1 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -15.58 Overbought (≥-20)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: 2.65 Signal: -10.2 Histogram: 12.85 Bullish (Line > Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹4624.67 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹4635.77 Mid: ₹4444.4 Lower: ₹4253.04 Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹4241.68 Bullish (Price > SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) 114.67 Strong Bullish / Breakout (≥100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹4444.4 34D: ₹4477.49 50D: ₹4508.3 89D: ₹4245.25 200D: ₹3567.15 Neutral / Mixed Stack
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹4465.92 20D: ₹4458.05 34D: ₹4446.69 50D: ₹4397.79 89D: ₹4213.67 200D: ₹3805.81 Bullish Stack (Price > 9D > 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.0538% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Radico Khaitan (NSEI:RADICO) - Stock Analysis - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 10:53:53
Radico Khaitan (RADICO) Share/Stock Price Live, NSE - TechGraph
Publisher: TechGraph | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:00:00
Radico Khaitan Share Price Rise: Price Action and Valuation - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 08:31:50
Radico Khaitan shares gain up to 3% as JM Financial sees 16% upside - Moneycontrol.com
Publisher: Moneycontrol.com | Published: Fri, 25 Sep 2026 07:00:00
Radico Khaitan soars 5%, hits new high; stock up 64% from March low - Business Standard
Publisher: Business Standard | Published: Mon, 06 Jul 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).