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₹141.77
-4.98 (-3.39%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Paradeep Phosphates is experiencing a sharp pullback (-3.39%) amid strong institutional volume (RVOL 1.91x, rising to 3.40x into the close) while the broader market Nifty gained 1.6%. The stock is deeply oversold technically (RSI 28.4, CCI -196.4), trading below its Bollinger Lower Band and major short-term moving averages, but holding above its critical 200-day EMA support (₹136.25 vs Day Low ₹136.63). Recent news highlights valuation concerns and sector-wide volatility, tempered by long-term growth initiatives like the Fertilizer Innovation Foundation incorporation."

Intraday (1 Day) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The chronological scan checkpoints reveal heavy volume build-up (RVOL reaching 3.40x by the close) and a strong intraday bounce from the day low of ₹136.63 back above the VWAP (₹140.30) to close at ₹141.77. Given the oversold bounce setup and late-session accumulation, a counter-trend long targeting the opening range resistance is favorable with a tight stop below the day low.
Entry: ₹140.00 - ₹142.00
SL: ₹136.50
Target: ₹146.50
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: The stock is testing the vital 200-day EMA (₹136.25) and lower Bollinger Band support following a steep correction. While medium-term momentum indicators like MACD and the 50-day EMA reflect a bearish bias, the extreme oversold oscillators (RSI < 30) suggest waiting for a confirmed weekly base formation or stabilization above ₹145 before adding fresh swing long positions.
Entry: ₹138.00 - ₹142.00
SL: ₹135.00
Target: ₹155.00
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: Long-term fundamentals remain intact supported by sector growth catalysts, strategic initiatives like the Fertilizer Innovation Foundation, and strong institutional participation during recent volume spikes. Accumulating near the crucial 200-day EMA and historical support zones offers an attractive risk-reward profile for a multi-quarter horizon.
Entry: Accumulate on dips between ₹135.00 - ₹142.00
SL: ₹120.00
Target: ₹180.00

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price action shows high selling pressure initially, followed by a late-session recovery from the day's low of ₹136.63 to close at ₹141.77, finishing above the VWAP of ₹140.30. The stock trades below its 20D, 34D, and 50D EMAs and is suppressed by a bearish Supertrend at ₹160.89. However, it is sitting right at the crucial 200-day EMA and the lower Bollinger Band (₹145.91), indicating an extreme oversold compression.
  • Momentum oscillators confirm severe oversold conditions: RSI(14) at 28.4, Stochastic %K at 6.15, and CCI at -196.4 suggest that a mean-reversion bounce is imminent. The MACD histogram remains negative (-1.13), showing ongoing short-term bearish momentum, but the extreme readings warn against chasing shorts at current levels.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates reflect a mixed sentiment. While Univest and Simply Wall Street point to valuation adjustments and a short-term price fall, news regarding the incorporation of the Fertilizer Innovation Foundation–India and broader fertilizer sector rallies underscore underlying operational growth and policy catalysts. This fundamental backdrop supports a medium-to-long term accumulation stance despite immediate price weakness.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹140.3
Peak Drawdown from High -4.63%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹141.53 / ₹140.91
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-4.6% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -2.26% (2.52x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:00 -2.19% (1.64x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:30 -2.15% (1.14x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:00 -3.92% (1.39x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:30 -4.07% (1.31x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:02 -3.67% (0.61x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:32 -4.87% (0.81x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:02 -2.89% (2.09x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:34 -3.75% (2.28x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:02 -3.68% (2.38x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:32 -3.16% (2.84x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:02 -2.28% (3.12x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:31 -1.67% (3.40x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹146.5
Day's High ₹148.65
Day's Low ₹136.63
VWAP ₹140.3
Distance from Day's High 4.63%
Distance from Day's Low 3.76%
52-Week High ₹181.85
52-Week Low ₹99.7

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 3477814
20-Day Avg Volume 1823954.9
Relative Volume (RVOL) 1.91x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -5.0%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 28.4 Oversold (≤30)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹4.5 (3.17% of Price) Neutral / Normal
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 6.15 %D: 11.71 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 0.0 %D: 5.63 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 15.86 +DI: 16.49 -DI: 27.92 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 43.35 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -6.22% Momentum (10D): ₹-10.82 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -93.85 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -1.1 Signal: 0.03 Histogram: -1.13 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹160.89 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹159.96 Mid: ₹152.94 Lower: ₹145.91 Oversold (Lower Band)
Parabolic SAR ₹158.15 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -196.4 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹152.94 34D: ₹155.15 50D: ₹152.86 89D: ₹145.95 200D: ₹136.25 Neutral / Mixed Stack
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹150.86 20D: ₹152.57 34D: ₹152.42 50D: ₹150.98 89D: ₹147.04 200D: ₹145.36 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.0035% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Paradeep Phosphates Share Price: Price Fall and Valuation - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 07:26:00
Paradeep Phosphates (NSEI:PARADEEP) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:00:00
Paradeep Phosphates (PARADEEP) Share/Stock Price Live, NSE - TechGraph
Publisher: TechGraph | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:00:00
Paradeep Phosphates incorporates Fertilizer Innovation Foundation–India - scanx.trade
Publisher: scanx.trade | Published: Thu, 08 Oct 2026 22:04:50
FACT, Paradeep Phosphates, RCF, other fertiliser stocks rally up to 13%. Here's why - The Economic Times
Publisher: The Economic Times | Published: Tue, 25 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).