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₹3308.0
-82.0 (-2.42%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"MCX is currently trading weak intraday at ₹3308.0, down 2.42% while the broader Nifty 50 is up 1.6%, showing significant relative weakness (-4.02%). Despite a strong multi-month uptrend backed by a 102% yearly gain and a bullish Supertrend at ₹3080, short-term momentum is cooling, highlighted by a negative MACD histogram, fading volume (RVOL 0.87x), and recent Q1 profit contraction concerns. Swing and long-term structures remain broadly constructive above key moving averages like the 50D EMA (₹3162) and 200D EMA (₹2798), but near-term caution is warranted."

Intraday (1 Day) SELL
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:00. The stock has maintained a negative trajectory throughout the session, underperforming a strongly positive Nifty 50 (-4.02% relative strength). With declining volume profile (RVOL 0.87x) and price failing to sustain above the opening range high, short trades near VWAP offer a favorable risk-reward toward the day's swing lows.
Entry: ₹3310 - ₹3320
SL: ₹3355
Target: ₹3250
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: The medium-term trend is consolidation following a stellar rally. The stock is holding comfortably above its rising 50-day EMA (₹3162) and the Supertrend support at ₹3080. However, mixed news regarding recent quarterly profit compression suggests waiting for a deeper pullback toward key support before initiating fresh long swing positions.
Entry: ₹3150 - ₹3200
SL: ₹3070
Target: ₹3450
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: MCX maintains a dominant monopoly-like position in India's commodity derivatives exchange ecosystem. Long-term moving averages (200D EMA at ₹2798) slope firmly upward, and structural growth in retail and institutional participation ensures strong multi-year compounding potential despite intermediate quarterly earnings volatility.
Entry: Accumulate on dips near ₹2800 - ₹3000
SL: ₹2500
Target: ₹4000

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price is hovering near VWAP (₹3311.46) and the 9-day EMA (₹3307.61), trapped between the middle Bollinger Band (₹3281.7) and the day's high (₹3383.8). The Supertrend remains bullish at ₹3080.01, but the ADX of 15.12 signals a lack of a strong directional trend at the moment.
  • RSI(14) sits neutral at 52.16, while Stochastic and StochRSI oscillators are drifting in mid-range. MACD line is slightly below the signal line with a negative histogram (-3.47), pointing to near-term consolidation or corrective pressure.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates highlight mixed sentiment. While the stock has seen massive outperformance over the past year (up over 100%) driven by high exchange volumes and strong market positioning, recent earnings showed a 22% QoQ dip in Q1 profit, causing temporary profit-booking. Overall, secular tailwinds in commodity derivatives keep the long-term outlook positive, but near-term digestion of gains is underway.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹3311.46
Peak Drawdown from High -2.24%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹3305.33 / ₹3303.91
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-2.2% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -1.54% (2.22x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:00 -1.69% (1.42x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:30 -2.00% (1.10x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:00 -2.56% (1.04x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:30 -2.61% (1.03x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:00 -2.77% (0.97x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:30 -2.95% (0.89x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:00 -2.49% (0.86x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:30 -2.89% (0.86x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:00 -2.83% (0.82x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:30 -2.48% (0.83x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:00 -2.58% (0.86x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹3380.0
Day's High ₹3383.8
Day's Low ₹3282.8
VWAP ₹3311.46
Distance from Day's High 2.24%
Distance from Day's Low 0.77%
52-Week High ₹3481.4
52-Week Low ₹1740.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 1651987
20-Day Avg Volume 1905325.9
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.87x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -4.02%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 52.16 Neutral (45–55)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹119.7 (3.62% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 47.68 %D: 56.95 Bearish (%K < %D)
StochRSI (14) %K: 37.82 %D: 51.27 Bearish (%K < %D)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 15.12 +DI: 22.64 -DI: 20.05 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 52.46 Bullish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -3.49% Momentum (10D): ₹44.5 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -52.32 Bearish
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: 35.8 Signal: 39.26 Histogram: -3.47 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹3080.01 (Bullish) Bullish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹3423.68 Mid: ₹3281.7 Lower: ₹3139.73 Bullish (Above Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹3443.57 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) 56.33 Neutral
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹3281.7 34D: ₹3291.23 50D: ₹3162.63 89D: ₹3005.55 200D: ₹2788.33 Bullish (Price > 20D > 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹3307.61 20D: ₹3283.96 34D: ₹3237.81 50D: ₹3182.72 89D: ₹3069.09 200D: ₹2798.4 Bullish Stack (Price > 9D > 20D)
TRIX (15) 0.1716% Bullish (>0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

MCX Share Price Today Rises as Benchmarks Stay in Focus - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Fri, 09 Oct 2026 07:00:00
MCX Share Price Jumps Over 5%: Why Multi Commodity Exchange Stock Is Rising Today - India Infoline
Publisher: India Infoline | Published: Thu, 20 Aug 2026 07:00:00
MCX share price up 102% in a year; can the rally sustain? Analysts weigh - Business Standard
Publisher: Business Standard | Published: Fri, 21 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).