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₹209.8
-6.42 (-2.97%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Jupiter Wagons (JWL) is facing heavy selling pressure, plunging nearly 3% to test its fresh 52-week low at ₹209.00. The stock trades below all key short-to-long-term EMAs, with negative MACD and bearish Supertrend confirming a dominant downtrend. However, extreme oversold readings across daily oscillators (Stochastic %K at 1.15, Williams %R at -98.85, RSI at 30.34 hitting the lower Bollinger Band) suggest exhaustion of selling momentum. Fundamental sentiment remains resilient, supported by long-term European export supply contracts and strong balance sheet metrics, presenting attractive risk-reward accumulation levels for long-term investors despite near-term technical weakness."

Intraday (1 Day) SELL
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:34. JWL traded consistently below VWAP (₹211.97) throughout the session, closing near the day's low and hitting a 52-week low of ₹209.00. Selling on minor pullbacks toward VWAP offers a favorable risk-reward continuation play, although low oscillator levels warrant a tight stop-loss.
Entry: ₹211.50 - ₹212.50
SL: ₹215.00
Target: ₹207.00
Swing (1-6 Mo) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: The stock is extremely oversold near lower Bollinger Band support (₹209.81) and Stochastic %K (1.15). While fundamental order book news is supportive, swing traders should wait for price stabilization above the 9 EMA (₹217.32) or a clear reversal candle before initiating fresh longs, keeping current positions on hold.
Entry: ₹205.00 - ₹210.00
SL: ₹198.00
Target: ₹225.00
Long Term (1+ Yr) BUY
Conviction: 8/10
Rationale: JWL is trading at its 52-week low despite solid long-term fundamentals, ongoing railway capex tailwinds, and new European export orders. Deep discount from its 52-week high of ₹358.25 offers an attractive multi-quarter accumulation opportunity for long-term value and growth portfolios.
Entry: Accumulate on dips between ₹200.00 - ₹210.00
SL: ₹180.00
Target: ₹290.00

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price trades below VWAP (₹211.97) and all major moving averages (20 EMA ₹223.55, 50 EMA ₹235.42, 200 EMA ₹265.45), indicating strong prevailing downtrend momentum. Supertrend (₹235.69) and Parabolic SAR (₹235.42) are firmly bearish. Price is resting right at the lower Bollinger Band (₹209.81), indicating a highly stretched downward move.
  • Momentum oscillators are severely oversold: RSI(14) is at 30.34, Williams %R is at -98.85, and Stochastic %K is compressed at 1.15. MACD remains negative with histogram at -0.78, confirming current bearish pressure, while ADX at 16.68 shows that the broad trend lacks directional conviction, elevating the likelihood of a mean-reverting bounce from 52-week low levels.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Corporate news highlights strong fundamental resilience despite statutory earnings dips, reinforced by recent wins like the long-term European export supply order. Analysts recognize that underlying operations and order book visibility remain intact despite statutory market skepticism. This disconnect between depressed market valuations and robust medium-to-long-term fundamentals provides a compelling buffer for patient investors.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation WATCHING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
🚨 EXIT NOW
Session VWAP ₹211.97
Peak Drawdown from High -3.63%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹209.72 / ₹210.05
Audit Reason: FIREWALL_DRAWDOWN_BREACH (-3.6% off day high)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 -0.66% (1.58x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:00 -0.75% (1.14x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
10:30 -1.09% (0.89x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:00 -1.39% (0.94x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
11:30 -1.67% (0.89x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:00 -1.61% (0.86x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
12:30 -1.72% (0.81x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:00 -2.22% (0.80x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
13:33 -1.00% (0.64x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:02 -1.16% (0.72x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
14:32 -0.71% (0.79x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:02 -1.38% (0.84x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT
15:34 -1.41% (0.96x) ⛔ AVOID 🚨 EXIT

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹215.0
Day's High ₹217.7
Day's Low ₹209.0
VWAP ₹211.97
Distance from Day's High 3.63%
Distance from Day's Low 0.38%
52-Week High ₹358.25
52-Week Low ₹209.0

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 1885510
20-Day Avg Volume 2032889.05
Relative Volume (RVOL) 0.93x
Nifty 50 Change -0.44%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty -2.53%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 30.34 Bearish (≤45)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹8.11 (3.87% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 1.15 %D: 6.24 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 39.29 %D: 59.36 Bearish (%K < %D)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 16.68 +DI: 14.88 -DI: 22.35 Neutral / Non-Trending
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 30.74 Bearish
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -7.64% Momentum (10D): ₹-10.41 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -98.85 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -7.17 Signal: -6.39 Histogram: -0.78 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹235.69 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹237.62 Mid: ₹223.71 Lower: ₹209.81 Oversold (Lower Band)
Parabolic SAR ₹235.42 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -155.74 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹223.71 34D: ₹231.19 50D: ₹238.72 89D: ₹248.96 200D: ₹272.0 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹217.32 20D: ₹223.55 34D: ₹229.73 50D: ₹235.42 89D: ₹245.96 200D: ₹265.45 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.392% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Jupiter Wagons Share Price news: JWL trades higher today - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Wed, 30 Sep 2026 06:27:00
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Jupiter Wagons (NSE:JWL) - Simply Wall Street
Publisher: Simply Wall Street | Published: Sun, 07 Jun 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).