Analyzing Stock...
Downloading quotes and generating insights. Please wait.
₹1066.3
+44.0 (+4.3%)
⚠️ NOT A TRADE RECOMMENDATION: These stock metrics and intraday signals are algorithmically generated based on quantitative characteristics that may be relevant to trading. Inclusion or analysis does not mean BUY, SELL or HOLD. This drilldown is a starting point for independent research, not a prediction of future price movement. Markets involve substantial risk, and you may lose some or all of your trading capital.

📊 Technical Price Chart

✨ Multi-Timeframe Trading Setup & Insights

Engine: Gemini (gemini-flash-lite-latest)

Market Analysis Summary:

"Aditya Birla Real Estate (ABREL) showed a strong recovery session, trading up 4.3% at ₹1066.3 with high relative volume (RVOL 1.68x) outperforming the Nifty. Although the broader technical trend remains under pressure from major moving averages, deeply oversold oscillators (RSI at 11.76) suggest a potential mean reversion bounce toward resistance. Positive analyst sentiment and real estate upside potentials provide a constructive backdrop for accumulation."

Intraday (1 Day) BUY
Conviction: 7/10
Rationale: Using intraday checkpoints: Revalidated using checkpoints up to 15:31. The stock maintained strength throughout the day, closing near ₹1066 with steady volume backing. VWAP at ₹1060.41 serves as immediate support for intraday continuation plays.
Entry: ₹1060 - ₹1066
SL: ₹1045
Target: ₹1095
Swing (1-6 Mo) BUY
Conviction: 6/10
Rationale: Extreme oversold conditions on RSI (11.76) combined with Bollinger lower band proximity (₹980.25) and surging institutional volume (RVOL 1.68x) present a classic mean-reversion swing trade setup targeting the 20-day SMA and middle Bollinger Band.
Entry: ₹1030 - ₹1070
SL: ₹975
Target: ₹1180
Long Term (1+ Yr) HOLD
Conviction: 5/10
Rationale: Fundamental headwinds with widening Q1 losses temper long-term enthusiasm, though sector positioning and positive analyst sentiment point to long-term turnaround potential near the 52-week low of ₹1002.3.
Entry: Accumulate on dips near ₹1000
SL: ₹950
Target: ₹1500

Technical Analysis & Overview:

  • Price is trading above VWAP (₹1060.41) and near the day's high (₹1078.4), though it remains well below key long-term moving averages like the 50D EMA (₹1247.47) and 200D EMA (₹1364.8). The Supertrend (₹1151.62) and Parabolic SAR (₹1080.77) indicate ongoing intermediate-term overhead resistance.
  • RSI(14) is extremely oversold at 11.76, accompanied by StochRSI and Stochastic %K crossing up from deeply depressed levels, signalling high probability of a short-term bounce. MACD remains negative (Histogram -12.96), confirming that the broader medium-term trend is still corrective.

News & Sentiment Impact:

Recent corporate updates highlight widening Q1 losses due to rising expenses, which weighs on fundamental performance. However, recent analyst upgrades showing optimism ("Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic") and mentions of up to 60% upside potential in Nifty500 lists have created speculative buying interest and positive momentum, reflected in today's 5.71% surge.

⚡ Intraday Live Validation DETERIORATING

Entry Decision
⛔ AVOID
Position Health
⚠️ AT RISK (Tighten SL)
Session VWAP ₹1060.41
Peak Drawdown from High -1.12%
Intraday 5m EMA9 / EMA20 ₹1067.44 / ₹1066.96
Audit Reason: MOMENTUM_PULLBACK (-1.1% off high / Below 5m EMA9 Rs.1067.44)

⏱️ Intraday Checkpoints Timeline

09:30 +0.78% (0.88x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:00 +2.21% (1.24x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
10:30 +2.02% (1.07x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
11:00 +1.96% (0.84x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
11:30 +1.71% (0.71x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:00 +1.95% (0.61x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
12:30 +3.45% (0.73x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
13:00 +3.36% (0.67x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
13:34 +5.04% (0.51x) 🟢 BUY 🛡️ HOLD
14:02 +5.63% (0.73x) ⚪ WAIT 🛡️ HOLD
14:32 +5.27% (0.90x) ⛔ AVOID MONITOR
15:02 +5.34% (0.99x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK
15:31 +4.90% (1.26x) ⛔ AVOID ⚠️ RISK

📊 Price Action Metrics

Open Price ₹1029.7
Day's High ₹1078.4
Day's Low ₹1011.4
VWAP ₹1060.41
Distance from Day's High 1.12%
Distance from Day's Low 5.43%
52-Week High ₹1914.0
52-Week Low ₹1002.3

📈 Volume & Participation

Current Volume 414821
20-Day Avg Volume 246876.6
Relative Volume (RVOL) 1.68x
Nifty 50 Change 1.6%
Relative Strength vs. Nifty 2.7%

🎯 Comprehensive Technical Indicators Matrix Multi-Period SMAs, EMAs, Oscillators, Bands & Real-Time Verdicts

Indicator & Parameters Calculated Value(s) & Multi-Period Signals Verdict & Bias
RSI (14) 11.76 Oversold (≤30)
Average True Range (ATR 14) ₹47.26 (4.43% of Price) High Volatility (Breakout Ready)
Stochastics (14, 3) %K: 4.99 %D: 4.76 Oversold (≤20)
StochRSI (14) %K: 4.51 %D: 1.5 Oversold (≤20)
ADX (14) & DMI ADX: 37.84 +DI: 12.55 -DI: 34.53 Strong Bearish Trend (-DI)
Ultimate Oscillator (UO) 24.52 Oversold (≤30)
Rate of Change (ROC 12) & Momentum ROC: -15.84% Momentum (10D): ₹-215.6 Bearish (-ROC)
Williams %R (14) -95.01 Oversold (≤-80)
MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD: -81.59 Signal: -68.63 Histogram: -12.96 Bearish (Line < Signal)
Supertrend (10, 3) ₹1151.62 (Bearish) Bearish Trend
Bollinger Bands (20, 2) Upper: ₹1340.48 Mid: ₹1160.36 Lower: ₹980.25 Bearish (Below Mid)
Parabolic SAR ₹1080.77 Bearish (Price < SAR)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 20) -119.6 Strong Bearish (≤-100)
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) 20D: ₹1160.36 34D: ₹1248.15 50D: ₹1298.24 89D: ₹1321.43 200D: ₹1346.09 Bearish (Price < 20D < 50D)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 9D: ₹1072.99 20D: ₹1148.18 34D: ₹1208.3 50D: ₹1247.47 89D: ₹1293.03 200D: ₹1364.8 Bearish Stack (Price < 9D < 20D)
TRIX (15) -0.7759% Bearish (<0)

📰 Latest Google News & Corporate Updates

Aditya Birla Real Estate (ABREL) Share Price rises 5.71% today - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Tue, 13 Oct 2026 08:29:00
Aditya Birla Real Estate's Q1 loss widens to ₹39 cr as total expenses rise - Business Standard
Publisher: Business Standard | Published: Thu, 13 Aug 2026 07:00:00
Aditya Birla Real Estate Share Price Update with Valuation - Univest
Publisher: Univest | Published: Mon, 24 Aug 2026 07:00:00

📚 Technical Indicator & Strategy Definitions

SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Arithmetic mean of closing prices over multiple trading periods (20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). Price trading above the 200-day SMA indicates a long-term secular bull trend, while 20D/50D track short-to-medium term institutional support levels.
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): Weighted moving averages placing greater priority on recent price bars (9D, 20D, 34D, 50D, 89D, 200D). A progressive stack (EMA 9 > 20 > 50) confirms robust upward momentum and provides dynamic support during pullbacks.
ADX (Average Directional Index - 14) & DMI: Measures trend strength regardless of direction. An ADX value ≥ 25 confirms a strong trending market. Directional Movement (+DI / -DI) indicates which side is in control: +DI > -DI is bullish (buyers dominant), whereas -DI > +DI indicates bearish seller control.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): The average price weighted by intraday volume. Used as a benchmark by institutional participants; price trading above VWAP indicates intraday buyer control, while trading below VWAP indicates intraday seller pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index - 14) & StochRSI: Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price movements (0–100). RSI > 70 is overbought; RSI < 30 is oversold; 50–60 signals bullish continuation. StochRSI applies stochastics to RSI to generate early inflection signals for trend shifts.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Trend-following momentum indicator displaying the spread between the 12 and 26-period EMAs against a 9-period signal line. MACD crossing above Signal is bullish; rising histogram bars signal accelerating upward momentum.
RVOL (Relative Volume Ratio): Compares current session volume against the 20-day historical average. RVOL ≥ 2.0x signals abnormal institutional participation, confirming the validity of breakouts and trend expansions.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Statistical volatility bands set ±2 standard deviations around a 20-period SMA. Contracting bandwidth ('squeeze') signals an impending explosive breakout, while price walking the upper band confirms aggressive trend expansion.
ATR (Average True Range - 14): Quantifies absolute market volatility in rupee terms over a 14-period lookback. Essential for setting volatility-adjusted trailing stop-losses, target sizing, and detecting range expansions.
Supertrend (10, 3): Volatility-based trend-following indicator calculated with ATR. Provides clear Bullish (green trailing line below price) or Bearish (red line above price) regimes to manage active trade trailing stops.
Stochastic Oscillator (%K, %D): Locates current closing price relative to the 14-period high-low range. Fast line (%K) crossing above smooth line (%D) in oversold territory (<20) confirms a buy reversal signal; crosses above 80 warn of overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index - 20): Measures price variation relative to its statistical average. CCI crossing above +100 signals strong uptrend breakout; crossing below -100 indicates deep downward momentum; zero-line cross marks cycle shifts.
Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse): Trailing stop overlay that follows price acceleration. When dots plot below price, the trend is bullish; a flip above price triggers trailing stop protection.
Williams %R (14) & TRIX (15): Williams %R reflects momentum relative to lookback highs (-20 to 0 overbought, -80 to -100 oversold). TRIX is a triple-smoothed EMA rate-of-change oscillator filtering noise to capture major cyclical momentum waves.
Relative Strength (vs. Nifty): Measures the percentage outperformance or underperformance against the benchmark Nifty 50 Index. Positive values identify leading stocks commanding institutional capital flow.
Intraday Regime & Permission Gates: 4-gate hierarchical risk firewall evaluating intraday structure, volume effort vs result at day highs, ATR peak drawdown, and VWAP integrity to prevent buying into collapsing peaks.
Opportunity Score (0 – 100) & Risk Score (0 – 100): Dual independent quantitative ratings: Opportunity Score (≥75 top-tier setup) evaluates momentum, volume, pattern, sector tailwinds, and RS. Risk Score (<50 preferred) evaluates drawdown history, resistance proximity, and volatility.
Setup Archetypes: Algorithmic classification: Breakout Candidate (near 20D/52W high with expansion), Pullback Continuation (EMA20 retest in uptrend), Momentum Continuation (high RS5D + ATR expansion), and Reversal Candidate (extended mean-reversion).